Prédire, pourquoi ? comment ?












11 Décembre 2023 | Lucas Voirin | Examen de doctorat en sciences forestières

Prédire,
des impacts

L’évaluation environnementale

Historique



Évaluer les impacts d’un projet sur l’environnement, avant sa réalisation, afin de prévoir les réponses aux potentiels problèmes.

Étude d’impact social

Étude d’impact hydrologique

Gérer les impacts

Prédire,
des dynamiques

La distribution des espèces

Niche écologique

Métapopulation

Processus

Prédire,
avec quels outils ?

Modèles, données et théories

Modèles

Données

Théories

Approches bayésiennes

Prédire,
mais avec incertitude

Conclusion

Pluridisciplinarité

  • Hydrologie
  • Statistiques
  • Biogéographie
  • Informatique
  • Écologie
  • Évolution
  • Économie
  • Sociologie
  • Climatologie
  • Politique

Incertitudes


  • Modèles
  • Données
  • Théories
  • Prises de décision

Merci !





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